“However, the natural blocking mechanism could dissolve during the third week of the month and allow any tropical storm to move northward, in which case interests in South Florida and the Keys may need to stay vigilant.” Should the tropical disturbance ...

Consensus of the computer forecast models show that the robust Tropical Disturbance south of the Dominican Republic will develop and eventually organize into a tropical depression or tropical storm.

The western tip of the Florida Panhandle could see impact from Tropical Depression 18, which is expected to become Hurricane Rafael by Tuesday.